From a viral e-mail. US-oriented, but other first world countries will have the same trend. We don't agree with number 4, but NZ/A pubished books for the general market are certainly facing extinction. And in respect of 6, interestingly vinyl records are starting to make a comeback
The Post Office will continue to have (at least potentially) a major role in delivering parcels. UPS and FedEx are big competitors in the US but they aren't bargains on price.
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Whether these changes are good or bad depends in part
on how we adapt to them.
1. The Post Office
Get
ready to imagine a world without the post office. They are so deeply in
financial trouble there is probably no way to sustain it long term. Email, Fed
Ex, and UPS have just about wiped out the minimum revenue needed to keep the
post office alive. Most of your mail every day is junk mail and
bills.
2. The Cheque
Britain is already laying the groundwork to do away with cheques by 2018. It
costs the financial system billions of dollars a year to process cheques.
Plastic cards and online transactions will lead to the eventual demise of the
cheque. This plays right into the death of the post office. If you never paid
your bills by mail and never received them by mail, the post office would
absolutely go out of business.
3. The
Newspaper
The younger generation simply doesn't read the
newspaper. They certainly don't subscribe to a daily delivered print edition. It
will go the way of the milkman and the laundry man. As for reading the paper
online, get ready to pay for it. The rise in mobile Internet devices and
e-readers has caused all the newspaper and magazine publishers to form an
alliance. They have met with Apple, Amazon, and the major cell phone companies
to develop a model for paid subscription services.
4. The Book
You say you will never give up the
physical book you hold in your hand and turn the literal pages. I said the same
thing about downloading music from iTunes. I wanted my hard copy CD. But I
quickly changed my mind when I discovered I could get albums for half the price
without ever leaving home to get the latest music. The same thing will happen
with books.
You can browse a book store online and even read a
preview chapter before you buy. And the price is less than half
of a real book. And think of the convenience!
Once you start
flicking your fingers on the screen instead of the book, you find you are lost
in the story, can't wait to see what happens next, and you forget you're holding
a gadget instead of a book.
5. The Land Line Telephone
Unless you have a
large family and make a lot of local calls, you don't need it any
more.
Most people keep it simply because they've always had it.
But you are paying double charges for the extra service. All the cell phone
companies will let you call customers using the same cell provider for no charge
against your minutes .
6.
Music
This is one of the saddest parts of the change story. The
music industry is dying a slow death. Not just because of illegal downloading.
It's the lack of innovative new music being given a chance to get to the people
who would like to hear it. Greed and corruption is the problem. The record
labels and the radio conglomerates are simply self-destructing. Over 40% of the
music purchased today is "catalogue items," meaning traditional music the public
is familiar with, older established artists. This is also true on the live
concert circuit.
To explore this fascinating and disturbing
topic further, check out the book,
"Appetite for
Self-Destruction" by Steve Knopper, and the video documentary, "Before the Music
Dies."
7. Television
Revenues
to the networks are down dramatically. Not just because of the economy. People
are watching TV and movies streamed from their computers. And they're playing
games and doing lots of other things to take up the time usually spent watching
TV. Prime time shows have degenerated down to lower than the lowest common
denominator. Cable rates are sky-rocketing and commercials run about every 4
minutes and 30 seconds.
I say good riddance to most of it. It's
time for the cable companies to be put out of our misery. Let the people choose
what they want to watch online and through Netflix.
8. The "Things" You Own
Many of the very
possessions we used to own are still in our lives, but we may not actually own
them in the future. They may simply reside in "the cloud." Today your computer
has a hard drive and you store your pictures, music, movies, and documents. Your
software is on a CD or DVD, and you can always re-install it if need be. But all
of this is changing. Apple, Microsoft, and Google are all finishing up their
latest "cloud services." It means when you turn on a computer, the Internet will
be built into the operating system. So, Windows, Google, and the Mac OS will be
tied straight into the Internet.
If you click an icon, it will
open something in the Internet cloud. If you save something, it will be saved to
the cloud. And you may pay a monthly subscription fee to the cloud provider. In
this virtual world, you can access your music or your books, or your whatever
from any laptop or hand held device. This is the good news. But, will you
actually own any of this "stuff" or will it all be able to disappear at any
moment in a big "Poof?" Will most of the things in our lives be disposable and
whimsical? It makes you want to run to the closet and pull out a photo album,
grab a book from the shelf, or open up a CD case and pull out the
insert.
9. Joined
Handwriting
Already gone in some schools who no longer teach
"joined handwriting" because nearly everything is done now on computers or
keyboards of some type (pun not intended)
10.
Privacy
If there ever was a concept we can look back on
nostalgically, it would be privacy. It's gone. It's been gone for a long time
anyway.. There are cameras on the street, in most of the buildings, and even
built into your computer and cell phone. But you can be sure 24/7, "They" know
who you are and where you are, right down to the GPS coordinates, and the Google
Street View. The TV show "Person of Interest" isn't as far out as you may think.
If you buy something, your habit is put into a zillion profiles, and your ads
will change to reflect those habits.. "They" will try to get you to buy
something else. Again and again.
All we will
have left with, and can't be changed, are "Memories"
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